Welcome to what could be the most volatile week yet.
The Middle East is burning.
The U.S. has escalated.
Washington's central command is watching.
Energy prices and safe-haves are being blasted forward.
But that’s not all…
Fed Chair Powell speaks twice this week, and his words could swing the dollar HARD.
In this 32-minute battle plan, Nikkhil breaks down where the charts align with real-world power.
If you blink, you’ll miss your next big trade.
Are you ready?
Let’s lock in.
DXY (USD Index)
On the monthly chart, the dollar continues to be rejected in the 78 - 85% fib zone, signaling a pronounced bearish structure headquartered around 96.30. What makes this week explosive is two Fed speeches from Powell and warded trade tensions: one more aggressive move down from 99.00 could trigger a final reset. On the daily chart, a strong bullish divergence has developed between swing lows, suggesting dollar selling is exhausted, but the move only becomes a reversal when USD crosses above 101.63 or breaches its falling trendline. The 4‑hour and hourly charts retain their lower‑high, lower‑low pattern, which means failure could send price sharply downward. In short: dollar is precariously close to reversal, yet still needs confirmation. Your edge is knowing which level flips this trade from “maybe” to “certain.”
Crude Oil (CL)
Crude is firing on all cylinders. We've seen a bullish divergence on the quarterly and monthly charts that preceded a clear rally beyond the 61.8% fib retracement, marked by rising weekly structure above $77.60. On the daily timeframe, crude completed an impulsive third wave and temporarily paused at the 200% fib extension before correcting. The shorter-term charts hold a clean sequence of higher lows and highs. Smart money is positioning for pullbacks into $74 - $71.50, where optimal entries await. The path higher is compelling, just stay disciplined on the dips.
EURNZD
EURNZD is prepping for a breakout. The monthly chart captures a significant reversal off fib and psychological zone at 1.98, with extension levels clustering between 1.98 - 2.00. Both the weekly and daily charts reinforce a bullish trend, showing higher highs and lows without any reversal signals. On the 4H, price is grinding toward 1.9650, setting itself up for the move toward the monthly target. Pullbacks into 1.9122 - 1.9150 present structured opportunities to jump into the ride. Once flows align with structure, the path is clear.
GBPUSD
After a deceptive bullish breakout on the monthly chart, GBPUSD has rotated lower, validated by bearish divergence and death-of-structure on the daily chart, raising strong sell signals. Weekly is showing exhaustion, and the 4H and 1H charts emphasize lower-high dominance, making rallies toward 1.3550 - 1.3594 ideal for entry. From there, the path to 1.3360 - 1.3280 is clean and actionable. This setup isn’t just a gut feel, it’s layered and confirmed across timeframes.
XAUUSD (Gold)
Gold remains the ultimate hedge, but right now, it’s wrestling with a ceiling. The monthly trend is still firmly bullish, driven by global risk and safe-haven flow. On the weekly chart, momentum remains strong, yet signs of exhaustion are creeping in. The daily is forming a triple top, with bearish divergence hinting at short-term resistance. Crucially, the rising trendline remains intact. The 4H support zone around $3,374 continues to hold, this is your tactical buy zone. For long-term positioning, accumulation between $3,374 and $3,174 offers asymmetric reward. However, for short-term traders focused on this week, the bullish outlook will be invalidated on a break below $3,318. If price holds and pushes through the $3,434 - $3,490 resistance band, momentum could reignite fast. The opportunity is two-fold: buy dips with discipline, and be prepared to lock gains near structural resistance.
This week offers rare coordination of geopolitical shockwaves, central bank drama, and structurally compelling setups. The pattern is clear: trade with structure. With anchored risk, precise entries, and clarity on inflection points, you're positioned for consistency.
Let’s execute with structure!
Click Here to Watch the Full Week Forex Forecast
Well talk soon,
Team Moneytize
P.S. As markets evolve, so must we at Moneytize.
That’s why we’ve begun a strategic transition from 100% manual trading to hybrid smart trading using AURUM EA.
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Click here to see how AURUM EA is being integrated into this week’s setups and how it could transform your execution.