Welcome to this week’s Moneytize Forecast. After a massive run across metals and commodities, we’ve arrived at one of the most psychologically charged zones on the chart: gold at $5,000. As traders grapple with the temptation to book early profits or ride the momentum toward wild upside projections, Nikkhil breaks it all down with a complete trading plan for both a breakout and a sharp rejection.
This week isn’t short on catalysts. On Wednesday alone, we have the FOMC statement, an interest rate decision from the Bank of Canada, and remarks from Donald Trump - all within hours of each other. Add in Eurozone CPI and GDP later in the week, and we’re staring at a high-volatility environment. In this week’s analysis, Nikkhil maps out how to navigate key levels on gold, silver, crude oil, GBPUSD, and the DXY, all with sharp precision.
DXY (Dollar Index)
The bearish story on DXY continues to unfold. Across every time frame from the 3-month to the 1-hour, the structure is dominated by lower highs and lower lows, with no bullish divergence in sight. The key magnet zone sits at 96.64, with a deeper target near 95.05. Nikkhil highlights 99.23 as the level that would invalidate the bearish thesis, but until then, any pullback is likely corrective.
GBPUSD
With DXY under pressure, GBPUSD is rising into a clean bullish structure across monthly, weekly, and intraday frames. The next upside magnets sit at 1.3750, followed by 1.3901 and eventually 1.4595 - 1.4643. Nikkhil notes that any volatility-driven dip, particularly toward 1.3575 or 1.3472, should be seen as an opportunity to buy into strength, not fear it.
Crude Oil
Crude oil is building momentum with synchronized bullish signals across all major time frames. A breakout above the 61.8% fib retracement has flipped the structure. Immediate upside targets are clustered around 63.04, with a stronger magnet zone at 64.68 - 65.14. Short-term dips toward 60.34 or even 59.63 are buyable, with invalidation only below 59.42.
Silver
Silver rallied over 7% on Friday alone, a move that usually signals exhaustion or a liquidity hunt on the horizon. Nikkhil’s long-term target remains in the 109 - 115 zone, but he warns that this week’s heavy newsflow could cause a sharp pullback first. Watch for support around 98, 93, or as deep as 92 before continuation. Price is currently at a fib magnet level, reinforcing the possibility of a shakeout before the next move higher.
Gold (XAUUSD)
All eyes are on gold as it flirts with the $5,000 milestone. While the higher time frame structure remains aggressively bullish - with upside targets at 5,084, 5,152, and even 5,246 the coming FOMC volatility could trigger a false breakout or deep pullback. Nikkhil is watching 4,919 and 4,858 as high-probability buy zones if a flush occurs. A deeper drop to 4,773 is also possible but remains within the bullish framework. This level could trigger panic or breakout euphoria.
Stay patient, trade smart, and don’t let the market noise shake your confidence.
The best setups are forming now, but only those with a clear plan will capitalize on them.
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Team Moneytize