Forex Weekly Forecast with Technical Analysis on April 13 to 17'26

Welcome to this week’s Moneytize Forecast. It is shaping up to be an important one, with fresh US PPI data on deck and GDP releases due from both the UK and China. After the ceasefire headlines triggered sharp reactions in crude oil and the US dollar, markets have already started repricing risk, but not every instrument has followed through in the same way. That is exactly where Nikkhil sees the real opportunity this week. In the full forecast, he maps out the key levels across DXY, AUDJPY, NASDAQ, crude oil, silver, and gold so you can prepare with clarity instead of reacting late.

DXY (Dollar Index)

Nikkhil begins with the US Dollar Index, where the larger structure has clearly turned bearish after a completed divergence and breakdown on the daily chart. Price has already fallen into a major higher-timeframe support band, and that matters because it suggests the recent selling is becoming stretched in the short term. On the lower time frames, momentum is showing signs of exhaustion, which is why Nikkhil is watching for a corrective bounce to develop before the next leg lower. The first bounce zone he is tracking sits around 99.09, followed by 99.45, with 99.75 to 100.00 standing out as the more important rejection region if price pushes higher.

The key idea here is not that DXY has suddenly turned bullish again, but that a short-term recovery may form inside a broader bearish structure. If price undercuts support first, 98.18 is the next level Nikkhil wants to see defended before any bounce attempt becomes more compelling. But if buyers stabilize the current support band, the path opens for a rebound into resistance before sellers potentially take control again.

DXY Technical Analysis on April 13 To 17'26
https://youtu.be/jtOZMEkc7Wc?si=izarnEduswTnddPt


AUDJPY

On AUDJPY, the higher-timeframe picture remains constructive. The monthly structure is still firmly bullish, and Nikkhil’s broader roadmap continues to point toward 114 as the next major upside objective. Even so, the lower time frames are beginning to show temporary exhaustion after the recent push higher. Price has entered a resistance area, momentum is slowing, and bearish divergence is beginning to show up on the shorter-term chart. That is why Nikkhil is not chasing strength here - he is waiting for price to rotate lower into better value.

The plan is simple: buy the dip inside an intact bullish trend. Nikkhil is tracking pullback zones around 111.84, then 111.30, with deeper support near 110.81. As long as those retracement areas attract buyers and the broader structure remains intact, the larger objective toward 114 stays in play. This is one of those setups where patience matters more than speed. The dip zones are already mapped…

AUD/JPY Technical Analysis on April 13 To 17'26
https://youtu.be/jtOZMEkc7Wc?si=izarnEduswTnddPt


NASDAQ

NASDAQ is showing a very different type of setup. After the false break lower and fast reversal from higher-timeframe support, price has recovered sharply and is now building a corrective bullish push. On the hourly chart, the structure remains constructive for now, and Nikkhil sees room for price to continue pressing upward as long as support around 24,918 holds. A stronger psychological read also comes in around the 25,000 region, which is why that area matters so much for the near-term bias.

That said, Nikkhil is not treating this as a clean breakout market. He sees the current advance as a bounce into resistance, not the start of an unlimited rally. The zone between 25,533 and 25,800 is where he expects NASDAQ to face meaningful pressure again, and if price reaches that area directly, he would rather take profits on longs and watch for bearish rotation than keep pressing higher. If price dips first, he is watching for support to hold before a final push up into that resistance band. This is a two-sided setup with a clear plan on both paths…

NASDAQ Technical Analysis on April 13 To 17'26
https://youtu.be/jtOZMEkc7Wc?si=izarnEduswTnddPt


Crude Oil

Crude oil remains one of the clearest directional charts in this week’s analysis. The ceasefire headlines triggered a sharp fall, but for Nikkhil the bigger takeaway is that price has rejected from higher-timeframe resistance and the bearish continuation structure is still active. On the daily chart, sellers are pressing lower, and on the four-hour chart the market has already shown rejection from a local resistance band after a brief bounce. As long as crude remains below roughly 100.89 to 101.00, Nikkhil sees the downside structure as intact.

His first downside target comes in around 88.68, followed by 86.49. If that lower support breaks cleanly and flips into resistance on a retest, the next major objective opens near 77.59. Even in an alternative scenario where price bounces first from current levels, Nikkhil still sees rallies as opportunities to re-enter short rather than signs of a lasting reversal. This is a classic sell-the-rise market in his view. The resistance zones are already defined…

Crude Oil Technical Analysis on April 13 To 17'26
https://youtu.be/jtOZMEkc7Wc?si=izarnEduswTnddPt


Silver (XAGUSD)

Silver is grinding higher, but in a way that demands patience. The move has not been explosive, yet the structure is still constructive as long as key support levels continue holding. On the weekly and lower time frames, price is printing higher lows and higher highs, and Nikkhil sees that as enough to keep the bullish thesis alive. The immediate resistance sits around 78.45, and if that level gives way, the next upside checkpoints come in around 84.31 and then into the 87 to 88 zone, where stronger higher-timeframe resistance starts to come into view.

At the same time, Nikkhil is very aware that any short-term bounce in the dollar could temporarily weigh on silver. That is why he is watching for a possible corrective drop before continuation higher. If price slips below 74.92, he sees a more attractive buy zone around 71.63 to 72.10. The bullish idea remains valid while silver holds above the broader support region near 68 to 69, but a close below that area would force a much more bearish reassessment. Silver is moving quietly, but the next break could matter…

XAG/USD Technical Analysis on April 13 To 17'26
https://youtu.be/jtOZMEkc7Wc?si=izarnEduswTnddPt


Gold (XAUUSD)

Gold is one of the most interesting charts in the entire forecast because, despite sharp moves elsewhere, it has refused to break character. Nikkhil still sees a bullish structure overall, but it is not an impulsive one. Price has already reacted from a magnet zone around 4,853, and on the four-hour chart buyers are starting to look tired in the short term. Divergence is appearing, but sellers have not taken control yet. That puts the focus on the pullback: Nikkhil is watching for support to reassert itself around 4,660, or deeper near 4,553, before another leg higher can begin.

As long as gold holds above 4,550 on a closing basis, the bullish continuation thesis remains alive. If buyers regain momentum and break back above 4,850, the next major objective is the 5,000 psychological level, followed by a stretch toward 5,165 and potentially 5,281 before exhaustion becomes a bigger risk. This is not a chart to force, it is a chart to track carefully through the pullback. Gold is coiling around critical levels right now…

XAU/USD Technical Analysis on April 13 To 17'26
https://youtu.be/jtOZMEkc7Wc?si=izarnEduswTnddPt

The week ahead is not about chasing every headline.

It is about knowing where the market is stretched, where confirmation is needed, and where the best risk-to-reward may appear once price reaches the right zone.

Nikkhil has already mapped the levels. Now the job is to stay patient, stay selective, and execute like a professional.

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Team Moneytize